Sure fixed matches in soccer have become the perceived holy grail or elixir of football betting in recent years. Are you looking to make good money from this venture? Then continue reading as this article will put you through on how to get fixed soccer matches for free.
At the end of this article, readers would find it easy to spot fixed football matches and be so certain of this that they will be able to put their house on it. Everyone wants the big bucks, but how do you find fixed matches in soccer?
How to Spot Fixed Soccer Matches?
Unbelievable Odds
Let’s cite a game in Italy’s Serie B, for example. In a match between Pro Vercelli and Brescia on May 13th 2017, both teams had a motivation to collect points. With two games of the season left, they had a fight against time to move away from the relegation zone as far as possible before the end of the championship.
But looking at the odds, there was a characteristic typical of fixed soccer matches: the odd for a draw stood at 1.67, which was the first time in my lengthy betting history that I had seen such low odds for a tie result.
This is weird because it means that even the bookies imagine that the match has a high chance of ending this way. So it went like in a movie: one team scored then the other, and the other, and one more to finish at 2-2.
So as not to appear rigged, fixed football matches usually end with a lot of goals.
Another sign that pointed to match-fixing was an own goal which was scored to restore parity in the first half.
Questionable Match Intensity
With statistics websites like Sofascore we can see the real-time intensity of football match actions, and one feature to look out for is little action in the game. This can be a clue, because in fixed soccer matches, players don’t like to run.
Monitor Odd Drops
Dramatic odd changes can really help you spot fixed soccer matches.
When a bookmaker lowers the odds, it can come in reaction to several factors , such as:
- – A lot of bettors who bet at the same time on the same scenario
- – A huge sum staked by a single bettor who is rather good in general
- – An info which has just fallen and which presages a scenario
- Erratic Sequence of Play
When the match is rigged from top to bottom, the fixers love that there are scenarios where:
- A team wins at half time and loses at the end of the match (huge odds)
- Over 6.5 goals in the match (huge odds)
- Goals at the end of the half
- Turnarounds or Comebacks
- The team billed to lose must score a leading goal before losing the match
Where to Find Fixed Soccer Matches for Free?
Some markets and leagues tend to have a high potential for match-fixing and this is what all bettors will be able to decipher once they learn the dynamics of fixed football matches.
Of course, it is almost impossible to rig a match in a Manchester United – Liverpool game or a Champions League final. However, certain championships and matches are much more conducive to match-fixing.
Without being exhaustive but still giving you an idea, we are talking about:
- friendly matches,
- lesser known football championships (Lithuania, Latvia, Cyprus etc …), and
- where the players have very low salaries (it takes 500 € to bribe a player from Belarusian D1).
Example of Fixed Football Matches
Here is one of the best and most recent example of suspected fixed soccer matches with scenarios rather worthy of science fiction films.
In this examples, I’ll show you step by step what’s wrong, what the clues are and how to profit from them.
Lada Tolyatti – Khimik Avgust Vurnari
March 18th, 2020 (step by step)
Lada’s early-stage odds were @ 2.25,
draw odds @ 4.50, and
Khimik’s @ 2.25.
A completely balanced match from every perspective.
After 3 minutes of play the odds of Khimik Avgust Vurnari took huge bets and got knocked down, falling to @ 1.40.
This is an instant red flag and the alarm bells should start warning that this is one of the many fixed soccer matches.
A dramatic odd change of this kind, without a red card, huge domination or other highlight is inexplicable.
The only probable explanation is a large influx of huge bet(s) which has forced the bookmaker to protect themselves.
So having spotted the match, we now have to see how to take advantage of it. We know from the above outline (How to Spot Fixed Soccer Matches) that the rigging will want Khimik to win at the end of the match.
With this hypothesis, there is an equally strong probability that Lada Tolyatti wins at half-time but we can’t tell. At the time, the odds stood at 5.00.
The outside victory odds were too low at at that moment on this specific bookmaker but other bookmakers may be late and still have the right odds so you have to quickly search and help yourself where it is still @ 2.25.
Opening the scoring in the 20th minute was Lada Tolyatti, yet the odds of Khimik remained @ 1.44, another abnormality.
This is now undoubted confirmation we need that this is another fixed football match. Some bookies at this time still have odds greater than @ 2 for Khimik.
In the match, Lada Tolyatti wins at half-time 1-0. The odds of the victory are still low, it is confirmation that the comeback is well taken into consideration by the bookmakers and very likely that it will happen.
The rest is all laid out, Khimik equalises the score and wins with 3 goals in the space of six minutes.
Conclusion
Fixed soccer matches may not always turn out the way the riggers want them to. This is due to several reasons and may be that only the referee is involved or only a few players. So the predefined scenario may not go as planned.
There are many sites that detect drop in odds, you just have to type “dropping odds” in your search engine or on google .